Probability of Trump victory surges past 80% on betting markets
Former President Donald Trump's probability of winning in Tuesday's U.S. presidential election surged on betting markets as gamblers parsed election returns. The probability of a Trump victory stood at 81% on Kalshi versus 19% for Vice President Kamala Harris.
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Betting markets breaking for Trump as returns trickle in
Political prediction markets are increasingly expecting Trump to win the election, with the odds of a Trump victory ticking up over the past couple of hours. Right before polls closed, Polymarket gave Trump implied odds of about 61% that he would defeat Harris.
Trump vs Harris Betting Odds: Republican Surges as Election Results Come In
Data from BetMGM UK shows Trump with current odds to win the 2024 presidential election of -300, making him the favorite.
Trump dominating over Harris in betting markets ahead of Election Day
Former President Trump is strongly favored to beat Vice President Harris in the 2024 presidential election, according to all but one prediction market.
Harris vs. Trump: Betting and prediction markets are picking a clear favorite
Over the past several weeks, Harris slid slightly, then the race tightened again, with Harris even briefly becoming the favorite. Tuesday, the Insider predicts, “will be a roller-coaster day.” Some betting experts believe a bet on Trump could be a simple wager that he’ll win Pennsylvania and cut off Harris’ most likely path to 270 electoral votes.
Trump, Harris make final election push
Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump made their final pitches to voters in the same parts of Pennsylvania at roughly the same time. They spent the last full day of the presidential campaign in a state that could make or break their chances.
Trump’s Betting Market Lead Narrowed Over The Weekend—But He Remains Bookmakers Favorite To Win
Swings in the betting markets favoring Vice President Kamala Harris over the weekend were triggered by a key poll showing the Democrat ahead in the solidly red state of Iowa.
MarketWatch9m
Betting markets increasingly see a Trump win
Betting markets tonight have been viewing a Trump win as increasingly likely, though the Associated Press has not yet ...
Final 2024 Election Predictions From Betting Markets Have Experts Sounding Alarm
It’s election day and while both candidates might be neck and neck in the polls, betting sites are showing clear preference ...
94%, 91%, 88%: Chances of Trump winning according to betting markets
The betting markets are reacting the emerging results of the US presidential election. In three major betting platforms ...
Kalshi election betting odds: Do bettors pick Trump or Harris? What we know on Election Day
Election betting is now legal in the U.S. Do Kalshi betting odds predict a Harris or a Trump win? What to know as Ohioans ...
The Economist1d
Financial markets are betting on a Trump victory
The easiest place to get a read on the thinking of punters is in election-betting markets. The three that get the most ...
Experts Worry Election-Betting Markets Are Skewed Ahead of Vote
Economists have long loved prediction markets. Even niche platforms such as the Iowa Electronic Markets and betting pools ...
Election Betting Odds: Trump Leads Harris As Voting Enters Final Hours
Interactive Brokers: The digital brokerage run by billionaire Thomas Peterffy offers election betting via its subsidiary ForecastEx, which prices in around 57% odds for Trump and 41% for Harris.
Marketplace2h
The rise of election betting
Today we’re talking about a breakout story of this election cycle: the rise of prediction markets and betting on elections.
Opinion - Gambling on ‘vibes’ — why the betting markets are getting the election all wrong
The betting markets currently have Donald Trump at a 62% chance of winning Tuesday's election, but this is based on the ...
Presidential Betting Markets Are a Real-Time Experiment for Regulators—and It Could End Poorly
Billions have been wagered on the presidential election on platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket. The bets are comically ...
Betting Platform Prices Point to a Trump Victory
Other betting markets have more consistently pointed to a Trump victory being the more probable outcome. Recent prices on ...